Concept
The 2-3 Month Build Horizon
A product-building heuristic for fast-moving AI capabilities holding that designing for current model capabilities or for a year-out prediction are both wrong; the only viable target is building for roughly where models will be two to three months out.
The 2-3 Month Build Horizon
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Related Concepts1
Related Practices5
- Write to 70% completion, then bring in others for feedback
- Read your own document in full before asking others to
- Communicate decisions with mocks and results instead of long documents
- Use recurring culture questions to coach speed and usage
- Pitch the product narrative to many people before finalizing the product
Ask about this concept
Transcript mentions
You fail if you build for where the models are now. You fail if you build for where you think the models will be in a year.
Concept
The 2-3 Month Build Horizon
A product-building heuristic for fast-moving AI capabilities holding that designing for current model capabilities or for a year-out prediction are both wrong; the only viable target is building for roughly where models will be two to three months out.
Related Concepts1
Related Practices5
- Write to 70% completion, then bring in others for feedback
- Read your own document in full before asking others to
- Communicate decisions with mocks and results instead of long documents
- Use recurring culture questions to coach speed and usage
- Pitch the product narrative to many people before finalizing the product
Ask about this concept
Transcript mentions
You fail if you build for where the models are now. You fail if you build for where you think the models will be in a year.